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liquid drop model

The new model runs are beginning, and first out is NAM. Suprisingly good agreement with the Globals on this on its last frames, ending Friday night, and it shows a major Ice Storm in North Carolina Piedmont, and now is colder at the surface for northern SC and northeast GA. This drops over 1" to about 1.5" liquid drop model equivalent into sub freezing air around the 85 corridor and west through the Triad down to Hickory, which would be a dangerous and destructive icestorm. I suspect... all models are not cold enough yet , since they have the strong high in a perfect spot in PA and western New York funneliing down low level cold air, trends usually go toward colder in a damming event east of the Apps.

It clobbers much of central, northern Kentucky with big time snow totals and is just beginning for Virgnia, already some foot amounts though in VA and western NC. (lots of sleet mixed in probably near there). This only goes out to Friday night (much more snow coming for WVa. VA, MD and DE, NC)

I'll have a full breakdown at my site after all model runs today as well as put out the alert here on FB. Sorry but I can't answer all the questions about how much snow and ice will occur, wish I could, but my time is limited at FB.

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